Are there No Rules anymore, or New Rules everywhere?
As I started thinking about various technology areas - networking, storage, cloud management, application development or usage (PaaS and SaaS) - it dawned on me that every one of those areas was under intense pressure to significantly change where it has been for the last 5-10 years. Technologies are always going through cycles of updates, but I can't remember a time when so many areas were going through potentially radical change at the same time.
Networking: The three biggest questions in networking today are focused on the server-access layer of the Data Center.
- Do new applications (web, big data, etc.) mandate a reduction of network layers &/or a simplicity of deployment/operations?
- Where do custom ASICs belong in the Data Center vs. "merchant silicon" from Broadcom or Fulcom Technologies?
- Where do L4-7 services (Load-Balancing, Firewall, IDS/IPS, DLP) belong in these new architectures, and how should they be deployed (application-level, virtual appliances, physical appliances or integrated services in switches)?
- Are networks ready to be more automated? How broad or complex a "container" should be automated?
Storage: Virtualization rocked the storage world. 100%+ annual data growth is expanding the storage world. Big Data is making storage rethink data placement and caching capabilities. And Flash is turning storage economics completely upside down.
- The turbo-charging capabilities of FLASH (SSD, PCIe) can do amazing things to improve application performance, update metadata, eliminate bottlenecks. But where is the best place to put that capability? Should it reside in the server? Should it reside in the storage? Is it just a tier, or is it the core of the storage architecture? The answers are still to be determined. Some will be application specific, while others will change the architecture for broad usage models.
- What is the on-going role for the SAN? High visibility outages such as Amazon AWS EBS and Big Data architectures using onboard DAS are looming large. Massive unstructured data growth is unlocking new value for business.
- Will OpenStack succeed, fail, stall or fork? This open-source project has the potential to become the LAMP stack of cloud management, if the community comes together in positive actions (some podcast discussions about OpenStack, here and here).
- How many CIOs will begin to leverage multi-cloud management to move from "managing budgets against 'no'" vs. making "yes" their default answer to all business and technology opportunities.
- Will we begin to see standardization of APIs between clouds or for specific cloud management functions, or are the industry still moving too fast to get bogged down in API standardization?
- How quickly will the PaaS revolution take off? With so many PaaS options today (Cloud Foundry, Heroku, OpenShift, Google AppEngine, Microsoft Azure, Amazon AWS, etc.), how quickly will consolidation happen?
- With Enterprises only having 15-30% of their budgets available to drive innovation, will they have the resources to adopt these new application and services models?
- How do Enterprises manage the transition from legacy environments to new environments?
- How do companies hire or transition the skill-sets needed for these new converged environments.
- Can vendors succeed in environments that are outside their core technology skills?
- How will the roles of Systems Integrators and Cloud Providers change to fill capability gaps?
It's going to be an amazing week of learning, and the next 12 months are going to have some major, long-term changes in our industry.
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